Home Science Leonid meteor shower expectations and forecast

Leonid meteor shower expectations and forecast


The Leonid meteor shower which will be taking place this week is something that many have historically set high expectations for. However, the experts and scientists tend to agree that the meteor shower will be a disappointment compared to historical performance. The Leonid meteor shower is one that comes yearly, and usually sets the standard for meteor showers. NASA will be running a couple different webcams for spectators who have the event spoiled by bad weather.

The meteor shower gets its name from forming within the Leo constellation that appears in a typical night sky. Ultimately, spectators would see shooting stars pour out from the center of the sky, seemingly. Even though that is not at all the case. As with any sky-watching activities at night – those spectators looking to see a good show are urged to watch from a rural location away from city lights, and in good weather.

While scientists are projecting this year to be a disappointment to well-versed observers, there still remains a good opportunity for someone who has not experienced a full-blown meteor shower before to see something that will be somewhat impressive at the very least. The forecast is that spectators should easily see the meteor shower from virtually anywhere any earth. However, weather conditions, as well as line of sight will be issues that will have to be contended with moving forward through the rest of the event.

Monday and Tuesday will be the official peak of the event. Monday night is expected to be the time when most scientists are saying that the view will be most impactful. However, even then, the visual show will be less than spectacular. The reason for the success of Monday and Tuesday’s show will be the fact that the moon will be largely out of the way. The moonlight tends to drown out some of the meteors that are otherwise visible through the event.


Spectators should get to a rural location, or a place where they can easily see directly upward in the sky, and expect to see some radiating light, that might only come at a somewhat lighter frequency. Still though, this should be one that is worthy of watching and worthy of seeing from start to finish on those peak nights.

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