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Moore’s Law turns 50: Even Gordon couldn’t have anticipated law’s precision


Moore’s Law is still one of the most accurate predictions of the technological world in the last 50 years to ever be printed. It was something that people simply didn’t see coming in 1965 – yet one man did. His prediction, that the number of semi-conductors existing in the world – would double every year – when he first made his prediction on April 19th, 1965 held up until 1975 when he modified his prediction to doubling every two years.

At this point, it has come essentially true. Which is a major step for the computing world as a whole. However, as it set the table for those 50 years that followed it – there have been similar expectations heading into the future. Right now, we’re at a unique place in the world. Essentially, we continue advancing technology at a rate that really would have been outlandish to predict 50-60 years ago. Yet, one man did – and did so remarkably accurately.

A semiconductor analyst said of Moore’s prediction, “No single thing has had an effect of such great magnitude in so short a time as Moore’s Law.” Highly spoken words for a man who truly did have the biggest impact on the technological world, as the innovators did in the 80s and 90s when technology began blossoming for the general consumer.


In fact, in many ways he was seen as laying the groundwork for the speed that the tech world would work at to actually deliver the things that they promised consumers. To do this though, they had to produce a lot of semiconductors – as Moore predicted. That analyst went on to point out that, “It’s played a significant role in advancing most of mankind’s endeavors, while improving our lives, over the last fifty years. It’s also critical to the semiconductor industry’s business model.”

The impact has been clear, obvious, and more importantly – a key reason for the developments that have landed us where we are today. That is of the utmost importance to remember.

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