Windows Phone will dominate the smartphone market by 2019, with a staggering 103.5 million handsets predicted to be shipped that particular year, predicts IDC.

According to research analytics firm IDC: Windows Phone will have the fastest growth rate by the year 2019. The research states that Android will hold 79.4 percent of the global market share by the end of this calendar year, while Apple’s iOS comes next with 16.4 percent of the global market. While handsets running Windows Phone will see a rapid growth this year with a projected growth rate of 34.1 percent this year.

Notably, the research forecasts that by 2019, Windows Phone will see its global smartphone market share rise by 5.4 percent. The platform’s five-year compounded growth rate is projected at 24.3 percent, which is quite a stark contrast with triple the compounded growth rate IDC expects of Android and iOS. IDC predicts that a staggering 103.5 million Windows Phone handsets will be shipped in the year 2019.

The research further states that 1.447 billion handsets will be shipped this year, with Android shipments expected to grow by 8.5 percent. While Apple is expected to ship 237 million iPhones this year, which represents a 23 percent growth annually. IDC expects that in 2019, 1.5 billion Android handsets will be shipped with Google’s open source Android OS commanding 79 percent of the global smartphone market, while its compound annual growth rate is expected at 7.5 percent over a period of next five years.

While in 2019, IDC predicts iOS with 14.2 percent of the market share, and is expected to ship 274.5 million iPhones, while its compounded annual growth rate is predicted at 7.3 percent.

China’s saturated market plays a pivotal role in IDC’S predictions, which is expected to drag down Android’s market share in the country to 8.5 percent.

“Smartphone volume still has a lot of opportunity in the years to come, but two fundamental segments driving recent years’ growth are starting to slow,” said Ryan Reith, Program Director with IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. “As reported earlier in May, smartphone shipments in China actually declined year over year in the first quarter of 2015, showing that the largest market in the world has reached a level of maturity where rapid growth will be harder to achieve. This has implications for Android because China has been a critical market for Android smartphone shipments in recent years, accounting for 36% of total volume in 2014. As Chinese OEMs shift their focus from the domestic market to the next high-growth markets, they will face a number of challenges, including competition from ‘local’ brands.”

Hence, according to IDCs forecast for the year 2019, we’ll have a smartphone for every human alive on the planet. But then again we need to remind ourselves that these are just numbers and guesses, and there are a lot of external variables involved. Therefore, we can expect anything to happen between now and 2019.

Guess it’s time we consult Microsoft’s digital voice assistant Cortana as to what she thinks of this whole prediction.

4 COMMENTS

  1. Hooray for Windows Phone! It’s such a simple, incredibly useful platform. Continuum will only bolster Windows used on mobile devices.

  2. I would love to see this come to pass. My SP3 is outstanding, and I hope AT&T releases the 640 XL at a competitive price. Moreover, I really hope we see a Surface Phone by Q1 2016, following the two rumored Lumia flagships due out later this year. W10 is looking to be a tremendous turn around from the W8 launch. Keep innovating, MS!

  3. Nokia Lumia 635 lte almost nailed I (aside from the resolution being wrong 799×480(should be 800×480)I don’t know what the issue is but it is important ,also how can this smartphone in cyan version have such insane connectivity and if you update it .its like going back to the stone age of connectivity.also ram size is an issue.if you run out of ram.guess what oddities happen ,a lot (especially if said app is not from Ms.but iif Ms focus on the little detail?I can say with certainty ,iPhone and android could be in for a surprise. But first .ms have to stop letting inconsistancy slip by in official build .if it was anybody else .people would let it slide,but this is Ms,and people expectation and demand are WA higher from Ms then from the other 2

  4. IDC were the same dolts that said Windows Phone would have like 40-50% market share by 2015. Now look at what happened, it’s 2015, and Windows Phone has plummeted to 2.5% world wide market share

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